Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics

Current Epidemic Trends (Based on Rt)

CFA’s Rt page estimates COVID-19 epidemic trends for the U.S., states, and HSAs.

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Risk to the U.S. Population from the 2026 Ebola Disease Outbreak Caused by Bundibugyo Virus

Assessing the risk posed by the Ebola virus disease (EVD) in the DRC to the US in 2026.

Risk to the United States from the 2026 Andes Virus Outbreak on a Cruise Ship

CFA assessed the risk posed by the Andes virus from a cruise to the public and previous travelers.

2026 COVID-19 Summer Outlook

CFA uses expert judgment, historical data, and scenario modeling to assess summer COVID-19.

Featured Resources

COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasts

Review emergency department visits and hospital admission ensemble forecasts due to COVID-19.

Measles Outbreak Simulator

Simulate the impact of interventions on the size of community outbreaks using our interactive tool.

Behind the Model: Learn Our Methods

Explore the data and models that support the development of public health products.

Modeling Handbook

Training series that teaches how modeling can help public health decision-making

Practical Modeling Concepts Training

Learn about how to apply modeling and analytics to public health practice.

Learning Resources

Access a collection of learning resources on infectious disease modeling and forecasting.

Connect With CFA

Learn how you can connect with CFA and help shape the future of public health.

About CFA

Our Work

Explore how CFA harnesses cutting-edge analytics to prepare and respond to disease threats.

Insight Net

Learn how the Insight Net network builds modeling and analytic capacity across the country.

CFA's Role in Public Health

CFA uses advanced analytics to deliver insights that help health officials safeguard communities.

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