Smallmouth Bass Abundance and Climate Change

A smallmouth bass stalls underwater. D. Magoulick

Buffalo National River is home to at least 59 species of fish, including the smallmouth bass. Prized by anglers for their ruthless fight on a fishing line, smallmouth thrive in cool, clear Ozark streams with woody debris and boulders for habitat. The Buffalo River is near the southernmost edge of this species’ range.

Research suggests that climate change will likely affect the abundance of smallmouth bass in the Buffalo River. With the southern United States projected to warm by 5 to 7 degrees Fahrenheit by 2050, the suitable habitat range for smallmouth bass could shift and/or shrink as a result, causing population decline at the Buffalo River. Conversely, certain effects of climate change—like reduced flooding—could boost their population at the Buffalo.

What You Should Know:

• Angler harvest can wipe out more than 50% of the smallmouth population in some areas.
• Climate change could be an additional stressor on the smallmouth bass population
• The United States Geological Survey projects that temperatures in the southern U.S. will increase by 5 to 7 degrees Fahrenheit by 2050.
• Increased global temperatures cause changes in weather patterns and extreme weather events.
• More restrictive fish harvesting regulations could help protect smallmouth bass from the effects of climate change.

Research shows that angler harvest, flood events, and drought can cause smallmouth populations to decline, with drought causing the most harm. According to the biologists’ model, warmer spring temperatures and decreased rainfall could reduce flooding and increase the population of smallmouth bass by about 8%. However, increased spring flooding or a severe summer drought could reduce the number of smallmouth by 50% or more. The outcome depends on how the climate shifts in Northwest Arkansas.

As rising global temperatures are associated with widespread changes in weather patterns, it is predicted that more extreme weather events like floods and droughts could occur. Using science to inform fisheries and wildlife management, including harvesting regulations and restrictions, will be crucial in protecting native species as the climate shifts.

Part of a series of articles titled
Buffalo National River Science Spotlights.

Next:
Mussels: Flexing for Water Quality

Where this belongs

• Buffalo National River

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