Hub Nexus

If you lived in the District of Columbia, North Dakota, Alaska, Idaho, or Vermont in 2023, chances are relatively high you or your neighbor had moved there from another state within the prior year.

But if you lived in California, a much larger state that attracted many more movers from other states over the same period, the likelihood of being in proximity with a recent in-mover, or someone who arrived in that state from another state within the prior year, was slimmer.

How can that be?

Part of it has to do with the size of a state’s population. Two states can have the exact same number of movers from other states but their presence in a smaller state will be proportionately higher than in a more populous state.

The share of recent movers to a state is calculated by taking the number of in-movers in the past year and dividing it by the population 1 year and over.

Although more populous states tend to draw more people numerically from other states, the chances a given resident moved there within the prior year can still be relatively low.

Like California, certain states with relatively high numbers of in-movers also had relatively low shares of in-movers.

Throughout this article, the term ‘state’ refers to the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, and state population numbers refer to the population 1 year and over.

For example, according to the 2023 American Community Survey (ACS), almost 57,000 people moved from other states to Washington, D.C., in the prior year; this accounted for 8.5% of its 670,000 residents during that time, a higher share of in-movers than for any other state.

In contrast, although over seven times as many people (around 422,000) moved to California from another state over the same period, they made up only 1.1% of California’s nearly 39 million people.

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