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A chart showing the computation used to train notable AI systems, measured in total floating-point operations (FLOP) and highlighting two distinct eras. In the first era from 1950 to 2010, the training computation doubled approximately every 21 months. With the rise of deep learning since 2010, it has been doubling approximately every 6 months. The y-axis ranges from 100 FLOP to 100 septillion FLOP. Several systems are highlighted, from early systems such as Theseus and the Perceptron Mark 1 to recent systems such as GPT-4 and Gemini 1.0 Ultra.

Artificial intelligence has advanced rapidly over the past 15 years, fueled by the success of deep learning.

A key reason for the success of deep learning systems has been their ability to keep improving with a staggering increase in the inputs used to train them — especially computation.

Before deep learning took off around 2010, the amount of computation used to train notable AI systems doubled about every 21 months. But, as you can see in the chart, this has accelerated significantly with the rise of deep learning, now doubling roughly every six months.

As one example of this pace, compared to AlexNet, the system that represented a breakthrough in computer vision in 2012, Google’s system “Gemini 1.0 Ultra” just 11 years later used 100 million times more training computation.

To put this in perspective, training Gemini 1.0 required roughly the same amount of computation as 50,000 high-end graphics cards working nonstop for an entire year.

Read more about how scaling up inputs has made AI more capable in our new article by Veronika Samborska →

Where this page came from

This page was imported from Our World in Data. “Since 2010, the training computation of notable AI systems has doubled every six months” by Charlie Giattino, Veronika Samborska, published by Our World in Data under CC BY 4.0. Changed here: set as a page, its interactive charts shown as pictures. Data from third parties keeps its own licence.

Nobody has written it yet — it is the source material at a new address, which is why search engines are asked to skip it and why no one earns from it. It is up for grabs: take it on, and it is yours to rewrite and to earn from.

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Licence: CC BY 4.0 · Adapted from ourworldindata.org

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