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Choropleth world map of natural population growth showing where deaths now outnumber births in 2023, indicating countries that would have a shrinking population without immigration; it shows much of Europe, Central Asia and East Asia with more deaths than births while most of Africa, South Asia and the Americas have more births than deaths. Data source: UN World Population Prospects (2024), data for 2023. License: CC BY.

For most of human history, more people were born each year than died. Populations grew very slowly for most of this history, then rapidly in recent centuries, as child mortality plummeted and people lived longer.

But this is changing. As the map shows, deaths now outnumber births in a growing number of countries across Europe and East Asia.

The balance of births and deaths tells us about a country’s “natural population change” — whether it would grow or shrink without any international migration. Where deaths outnumber births, the population will shrink unless enough people move in from abroad to make up the gap.

Where this page came from

This page was imported from Our World in Data. “Where are more people dying than being born?” by Hannah Ritchie, published by Our World in Data under CC BY 4.0. Changed here: set as a page, its interactive charts shown as pictures. Data from third parties keeps its own licence.

Nobody has written it yet — it is the source material at a new address, which is why search engines are asked to skip it and why no one earns from it. It is up for grabs: take it on, and it is yours to rewrite and to earn from.

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Licence: CC BY 4.0 · Adapted from ourworldindata.org

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