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An outbreak of Bundibugyo virus disease, a type of Ebola disease, is under
way, centred on the **Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the
Congo**.

**The CDC assessed the risk this poses to the US population over the next 3
months as low.**

The condition attached to that

The assessment does not end at "low". It comes with a stated dependency:

**Ensuring sufficient public health resources to control the outbreak in
DRC will be necessary for maintaining a low risk to the U.S. population.**

That is an unusually direct thing for a risk assessment to say, and it is the
most important sentence in the report. The low risk is not a property of
distance or of American preparedness. It is a consequence of the outbreak
being contained where it is — and containment there is funded, staffed and
maintained by somebody.

A risk assessment that reads "low" is often taken as permission to stop
paying attention. This one says the opposite: the number holds as long as the
work continues.

If cases do arrive

The report is equally clear on the second half:

  • **There is public health capacity in the United States to contain and
    control an outbreak**
  • CDC guidance for US clinicians and public health practitioners can help
    prevent potential spread

So the position is: low risk now, contingent on resourcing the response
abroad, with domestic capacity in place if it changes.

*Source: Richard DM, Routledge I, Koeller S, et al. Assessment of Risk to the
U.S. Population from the Ebola Disease Outbreak Caused by Bundibugyo Virus,

  1. MMWR Early Release, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.*

许可协议: CC0 1.0(公有领域) · 改编自 www.cdc.gov

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